Aberdeen vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
20.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
12º
3º
37
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
4 - 1
STM
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CEL
2 - 0
ABE
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ABE
3 - 0
RAI
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
STI
0 - 5
ABE
11%
21%
69%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 0
DUM
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MHE
1 - 2
STJ
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
STM
0 - 1
MHE
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
SLR
2 - 0
MHE
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
MHE
0 - 1
SLR
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
MHE
21%
24%
56%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |