Copa do Brasil 1/32
First-leg 5-0
ABC vs Trem DC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ABC
4 - 0
ALE
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
TDC
0 - 5
ABC
8%
16%
76%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
ABC
13%
20%
68%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ABC
2 - 0
BAR
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ABC
1 - 0
ARN
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Trem DC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
TDC
0 - 5
ABC
8%
16%
76%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
TDC
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
IND
1 - 0
TDC
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
TDC
1 - 0
SAN
59%
22%
18%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TDC
1 - 0
SAM
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |