ABC vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FER
1 - 3
ABC
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
ABC
7 - 0
ASS
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ABC
2 - 0
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
ABC
1 - 1
ALT
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
POT
2 - 1
ABC
12%
20%
69%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
PAY
5 - 0
UNI
72%
19%
10%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
PAY
3 - 1
REM
28%
26%
47%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
REM
3 - 0
PAY
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
PAY
2 - 0
AGU
76%
16%
7%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 3
PAY
13%
22%
65%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |