ABC vs Palmeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
FEL
1 - 6
ABC
17%
20%
63%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
GLO
1 - 2
ABC
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
ASS
0 - 6
ABC
14%
21%
65%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 0
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 4
POT
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 4
GLO
23%
24%
53%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
ASS
1 - 1
PAL
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
POT
3 - 1
PAL
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 1
ARN
16%
22%
62%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +5 |