Copa do Nordeste Eliminatorias Quarter-finals

ABC vs Náutico analysis

ABC Náutico
66 ELO 62
0.3% Tilt -6.5%
1608º General ELO ranking 1296º
55º Country ELO ranking 54º
ELO win probability
49%
ABC
24.1%
Draw
26.9%
Náutico

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
ABC
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.9%
Win probability
Náutico
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ABC
-1%
+3%
Náutico

ELO progression

ABC
Náutico
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ABC
ABC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2023
ABC
ABC
3 - 0
Fluminense PI
FPI
70%
17%
12%
65 49 16 0
17 Mar. 2023
VAS
Vasco da Gama
0 - 0
ABC
ABC
66%
20%
14%
65 76 11 0
11 Mar. 2023
ABC
ABC
3 - 0
Santa Cruz RN
SAN
81%
13%
5%
65 39 26 0
08 Mar. 2023
CRB
CRB
1 - 0
ABC
ABC
55%
24%
22%
65 72 7 0
05 Mar. 2023
ABC
ABC
3 - 0
Atlético Alagoinhas
ALA
77%
15%
7%
65 48 17 0

Matches

Náutico
Náutico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2023
NAU
Náutico
3 - 2
Ferroviário
FER
60%
21%
19%
63 59 4 0
18 Mar. 2023
MAG
Maguary PE
0 - 1
Náutico
NAU
8%
14%
78%
63 33 30 0
16 Mar. 2023
ISC
Íbis
0 - 4
Náutico
NAU
7%
17%
77%
63 36 27 0
12 Mar. 2023
NAU
Náutico
2 - 0
Salgueiro
SAL
78%
14%
7%
62 48 14 +1
09 Mar. 2023
NAU
Náutico
2 - 1
Vila Nova
VIL
41%
26%
34%
61 69 8 +1