ABC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
ABC
3 - 0
FPI
70%
17%
12%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
VAS
0 - 0
ABC
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ABC
3 - 0
SAN
81%
13%
5%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
CRB
1 - 0
ABC
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ABC
3 - 0
ALA
77%
15%
7%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
NAU
3 - 2
FER
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAG
0 - 1
NAU
8%
14%
78%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
ISC
0 - 4
NAU
7%
17%
77%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 0
SAL
78%
14%
7%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 1
VIL
41%
26%
34%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |