ABC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
41%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
ARN
2 - 1
ABC
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
ABC
0 - 0
ARN
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 0
ABC
42%
25%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FEL
0 - 4
ABC
7%
14%
79%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
ABC
1 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 2
NAU
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
NAU
0 - 1
SPO
28%
24%
48%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CEA
0 - 2
NAU
72%
19%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
NAU
2 - 0
AFO
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
NAU
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |