ABC vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
41.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
OES
1 - 0
ABC
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
CRZ
1 - 0
ABC
81%
14%
6%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 0
ABC
36%
29%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 0
ATL
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 1
ABC
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 2
NAU
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 0
BOA
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
AVA
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 2
AVA
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
AVA
3 - 2
SAM
60%
23%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |