Potiguar Etapas Finales. Final
Global 0-1
ABC vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
ABC
1 - 2
BOT
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
ARN
1 - 0
ABC
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CRB
1 - 1
ABC
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
ITU
3 - 0
ABC
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ABC
1 - 2
CEA
18%
25%
57%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
ARN
2 - 2
BOT
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
ARN
1 - 0
ABC
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 0
ARN
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
ARN
1 - 2
YPI
29%
29%
42%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ARN
1 - 2
ABC
35%
25%
41%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |