ABC vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
ABC
2 - 1
BAR
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 3
ABC
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
ABC
18%
22%
61%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
ABC
4 - 0
ASS
74%
17%
10%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ARN
0 - 1
ABC
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ALE
0 - 2
SAN
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 1
ALE
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CCP
0 - 2
ALE
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
ALE
0 - 1
ARN
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
POT
0 - 0
ALE
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |