Abahani vs Bangladesh Police analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
22.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
8º
3º
23
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 32 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 32 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 27 |
4º
|
86% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 22 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 19 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 19 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 15 |
9º
|
91.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abahani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 1
ABA
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 3
ABA
20%
19%
62%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SHR
0 - 1
ABA
24%
22%
55%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
ABA
2 - 1
SHJ
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
ABA
1 - 1
FOR
74%
15%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bangladesh Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2024 |
MDH
2 - 1
BPF
45%
23%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BPF
2 - 0
RAH
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MDH
0 - 0
BPF
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
SHJ
0 - 3
BPF
38%
23%
40%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BPF
1 - 0
SHR
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |