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Denmark Fourth Division. Matchday 18

AB Tårnby vs Holbæk analysis

AB Tårnby Holbæk
6 ELO 18
44% Tilt 146%
8972º General ELO ranking 5780º
83º Country ELO ranking 52º
ELO win probability
26.5%
AB Tårnby
18.1%
Draw
55.4%
Holbæk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
AB Tårnby
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
2%
2-1
5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
13.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.1%
55.4%
Win probability
Holbæk
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
5.9%
3-4
2.4%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
3.9%
3-5
1.3%
4-6
0.3%
5-7
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
2.1%
3-6
0.6%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AB Tårnby
+86%
+87%
Holbæk

Points and table prediction

AB Tårnby
Their league position
Holbæk
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
37
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AB Tårnby
48
57
79%
Tårnby FF
44
53
69%
Holbæk
37
46
90%
KFUM
33
40
62%
Køge Nord
29
35
29%
B 1908
27
33
24%
Ledøje-Smørum Fodbold
26
32
25%
GVI
25
31
34%
Skovshoved
16
21
10º
48%
Ringsted
10º
15
22
47%
Expected probabilities
AB Tårnby
Holbæk
Champion
79% 0%
Mid-table
21% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

AB Tårnby
ABT
Holbæk
HOL
Tårnby FF
TAR
GVI
GVI
Ringsted
RIN
Ledøje-Smørum Fodbold
LED
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AB Tårnby
AB Tårnby
1%
X%
2%
ELO ABT ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2022
B19
B 1908
1 - 2
AB Tårnby
ABT
46%
27%
27%
116 175 59 0
02 Apr. 2022
KFU
KFUM
1 - 1
AB Tårnby
ABT
45%
27%
28%
116 125 9 0
26 Mar. 2022
ABT
AB Tårnby
2 - 1
Skovshoved
SKO
46%
27%
27%
115 113 2 0
06 Nov. 2021
KON
Køge Nord
1 - 5
AB Tårnby
ABT
46%
27%
27%
97 93 -4 +1
30 Oct. 2021
LED
Ledøje-Smørum Fodbold
1 - 2
AB Tårnby
ABT
46%
27%
27%
94 97 3 0

Matches

Holbæk
Holbæk
1%
X%
2%
ELO HOL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2022
HOL
Holbæk
3 - 0
KFUM
KFU
49%
26%
25%
245 125 120 0
02 Apr. 2022
KON
Køge Nord
1 - 4
Holbæk
HOL
41%
28%
31%
244 126 -118 +1
26 Mar. 2022
HOL
Holbæk
6 - 0
Ringsted
RIN
49%
26%
25%
244 111 133 +1
29 Jan. 2022
HOL
Holbæk
1 - 1
Slagelse B&I
SBO
46%
27%
27%
244 251 -7 0
13 Nov. 2021
HOL
Holbæk
1 - 1
GVI
GVI
45%
27%
28%
125 104 21 0