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Denmark Fourth Division. Matchday 12

AB Tårnby vs Herlev analysis

AB Tårnby Herlev
5 ELO 5
10% Tilt 62%
9013º General ELO ranking 8928º
83º Country ELO ranking 80º
ELO win probability
36.3%
AB Tårnby
23.5%
Draw
40.2%
Herlev

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
AB Tårnby
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
40.2%
Win probability
Herlev
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AB Tårnby
-18%
+80%
Herlev

Points and table prediction

AB Tårnby
Their league position
Herlev
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
10º
50
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Holbæk
66
66
100%
Herlev
50
50
100%
Karlslunde
45
45
100%
Avedøre
43
43
100%
GVI
37
37
100%
Ballerup-Skovlunde
33
33
100%
Skjold Birkerød
31
31
100%
AB Tårnby
28
28
100%
Greve IF
27
27
100%
Taastrup FC
10º
18
18
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
AB Tårnby
Herlev
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Promotion playoffs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Herlev
HER
AB Tårnby
ABT
Skjold Birkerød
SKJ
Holbæk
HOL
GVI
GVI
Ballerup-Skovlunde
BAL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AB Tårnby
AB Tårnby
1%
X%
2%
ELO ABT ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2018
KAR
Karlslunde
2 - 3
AB Tårnby
ABT
46%
27%
27%
94 97 3 +1
06 Oct. 2018
ABT
AB Tårnby
1 - 2
Avedøre
AVE
45%
27%
28%
95 83 12 -1
03 Oct. 2018
ABT
AB Tårnby
0 - 0
Greve IF
GRE
41%
28%
31%
95 208 -113 0
29 Sep. 2018
ABT
AB Tårnby
1 - 1
Taastrup FC
TAA
46%
27%
27%
95 95 0 0
22 Sep. 2018
BAL
Ballerup-Skovlunde
2 - 0
AB Tårnby
ABT
46%
27%
27%
96 86 -10 -1

Matches

Herlev
Herlev
1%
X%
2%
ELO HER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2018
HER
Herlev
1 - 1
GVI
GVI
46%
27%
27%
94 103 -9 0
06 Oct. 2018
HOL
Holbæk
1 - 1
Herlev
HER
47%
27%
26%
94 186 92 0
28 Sep. 2018
HER
Herlev
3 - 2
Greve IF
GRE
41%
28%
31%
94 209 -115 +1
22 Sep. 2018
KAR
Karlslunde
4 - 2
Herlev
HER
46%
27%
27%
95 96 1 -1
14 Sep. 2018
HER
Herlev
4 - 0
Avedøre
AVE
45%
27%
28%
94 82 12 +1