Rafalafena vs Orpesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafalafena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
RAF
13%
16%
71%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
RAF
3 - 0
POB
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 3
RAF
29%
21%
51%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
RAF
4 - 0
BNC
49%
21%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
RAF
2 - 1
CDB
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Orpesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ORP
4 - 1
VIN
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
ORP
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ORP
3 - 4
BET
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CAB
0 - 0
ORP
37%
23%
41%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ORP
0 - 1
IBA
54%
21%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |