Rafalafena vs Orpesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafalafena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
RAF
32%
21%
46%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CAB
0 - 0
RAF
11%
15%
74%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
IBA
2 - 3
RAF
60%
19%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
RAF
1 - 1
OND
77%
13%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
RAF
36%
22%
42%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Orpesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ORP
3 - 1
MOR
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ORP
2 - 0
VIN
58%
20%
22%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ORP
0 - 3
SAJ
25%
21%
54%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 3
ORP
44%
23%
33%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ORP
2 - 0
VIN
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |