Rafalafena vs Ibarsos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafalafena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
EST
2 - 2
RAF
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
RAF
4 - 1
PEN
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
OND
0 - 1
RAF
23%
21%
56%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
RAF
5 - 0
VIL
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ORP
1 - 1
RAF
16%
20%
65%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ibarsos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
IBA
3 - 1
VIN
82%
12%
6%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
IBA
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
IBA
3 - 0
BET
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
CAB
4 - 2
IBA
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
IBA
1 - 2
CDB
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |