Rafalafena vs Peñiscola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafalafena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TRA
3 - 1
RAF
58%
22%
21%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 2
BEN
50%
22%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 2
ALM
62%
19%
18%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RAF
2 - 2
RPL
46%
21%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 3
RAF
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Peñiscola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
VAL
35%
22%
43%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
CDB
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
TRA
3 - 0
PEN
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 0
BEN
45%
22%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ALM
5 - 1
PEN
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |