Aarhus Fremad II vs Lystrup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
IFL
3 - 0
AAR
51%
24%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
AAR
2 - 3
RAN
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 1
AAR
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
AAR
3 - 0
RIN
34%
24%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 2
AAR
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lystrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
LYS
0 - 1
SKA
41%
22%
37%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
AAB
1 - 1
LYS
63%
18%
19%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
IFL
1 - 0
LYS
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
RAN
8 - 0
LYS
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
NOR
3 - 1
LYS
39%
22%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |