Aalborg BK vs AC Horsens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
9º
12º
12º
23
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
AAB
1 - 3
FCK
19%
24%
57%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
VFF
2 - 1
AAB
44%
24%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
GÓR
2 - 1
AAB
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
ZAL
3 - 1
AAB
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
WAR
1 - 3
AAB
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 0
LYN
42%
26%
33%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 1
ACH
75%
17%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
VFF
5 - 4
ACH
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
OBK
1 - 3
ACH
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 1
HVI
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |