Qualif. Champions Tercera fase. Final
Global 4-0
Aalborg BK vs FBK Kaunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
AAB
1 - 1
ESB
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
MOD
1 - 2
AAB
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
VEJ
2 - 3
AAB
36%
25%
40%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
AAB
5 - 0
MOD
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
BIF
2 - 1
AAB
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FBK Kaunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2008 |
FBK
2 - 1
GLA
47%
24%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
GLA
0 - 0
FBK
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2008 |
FBK
3 - 1
SCO
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2008 |
SCO
1 - 4
FBK
34%
24%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2008 |
FBK
1 - 0
SUD
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |