AA Alvorada vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AA Alvorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
KEC
5 - 2
AAA
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
GUR
1 - 2
AAA
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
AAA
1 - 0
GUR
39%
25%
37%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
TOC
2 - 1
AAA
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
AAA
3 - 1
KEC
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2008 |
TOC
2 - 3
GUR
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
KEC
1 - 3
TOC
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
TOC
1 - 1
KEC
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
TOC
2 - 1
AAA
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
GUR
1 - 0
TOC
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |