Portuguesa vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
TAU
0 - 0
POR
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
POR
1 - 0
JUV
31%
27%
43%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
SCS
1 - 0
POR
9%
17%
73%
|
48 | 13 | 35 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
NAC
33%
27%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
DES
1 - 1
POR
56%
24%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 1
XVD
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
XVD
2 - 3
SAO
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
XVD
1 - 0
MIR
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MIR
2 - 2
XVD
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
XVD
3 - 2
BER
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |