Portuguesa vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
XVD
2 - 1
POR
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
POR
0 - 3
AGU
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
ATI
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 2
OES
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
RIO
4 - 3
VEL
40%
26%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 0
AUD
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
SER
2 - 2
VEL
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
XVD
3 - 2
VEL
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |