Portuguesa vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 0
POR
22%
26%
53%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
ATI
0 - 3
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
TAU
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
CAX
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
POR
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 2
SAO
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
ATI
21%
25%
54%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
TAU
3 - 0
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
POR
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 3
FER
20%
25%
55%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |