Portuguesa vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
POR
5 - 0
AUT
69%
20%
12%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
MOT
0 - 1
POR
36%
29%
35%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1984 |
POR
0 - 0
BOT
43%
27%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
SAN
0 - 0
POR
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
VIT
1 - 0
POR
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1984 |
MOT
2 - 2
SAN
14%
21%
65%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1984 |
SAN
3 - 1
MOT
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1984 |
AUT
0 - 1
SAN
15%
25%
60%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
SAN
0 - 0
POR
67%
20%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |