Portuguesa vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
COR
14%
28%
58%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
INT
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 1
POR
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
4 - 1
POR
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
BOT
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
MIR
4 - 1
FER
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FER
0 - 1
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
FER
80%
15%
6%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
FER
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | -1 |