Portuguesa vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
SAO
57%
25%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 1
POR
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
RIO
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 1
POR
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
PRI
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
ITU
2 - 2
AGU
68%
19%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
MIR
0 - 1
AGU
56%
23%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 2
AGU
76%
17%
7%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 1
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PPE
0 - 1
AGU
64%
21%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |