Tolentino vs Fiuggi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
UST
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
UST
1 - 1
CAS
62%
20%
19%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
UST
2 - 2
APR
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
PIN
1 - 2
UST
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
REC
2 - 2
UST
47%
22%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fiuggi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
SFF
48%
24%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
SFF
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SFF
0 - 2
GIU
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
RIE
3 - 3
SFF
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SFF
1 - 0
REC
44%
25%
32%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |