Trénelle vs Golden Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-6%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 39 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
50% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 6 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
ELO progression
GOL
TRE
RCS
GOL
SAM
USR
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trénelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO TRE | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
TRE
0 - 1
ASP
47%
27%
26%
|
261 | 236 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
USR
2 - 2
TRE
41%
28%
31%
|
261 | 197 | -64 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
TRE
0 - 1
RCS
47%
27%
26%
|
261 | 223 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
TRE
0 - 1
SAM
46%
27%
26%
|
261 | 211 | 50 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MON
1 - 1
TRE
46%
27%
27%
|
261 | 244 | -17 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO GOL | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
SAM
0 - 0
GOL
44%
27%
28%
|
197 | 211 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
GOL
3 - 5
ASP
46%
27%
28%
|
197 | 236 | -39 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
MON
2 - 2
GOL
47%
27%
26%
|
197 | 244 | 47 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
USR
1 - 0
GOL
44%
27%
28%
|
197 | 197 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
GOL
2 - 3
GOL
45%
27%
28%
|
198 | 305 | -107 | -1 |