Trans II vs TJK Legion II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
3.74
Expected goals
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
10-2
<0%
11-3
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
<0%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
11-4
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
0.1%
11-5
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.3%
9-4
0.2%
10-5
0.1%
11-6
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.6%
8-4
0.4%
9-5
0.2%
10-6
0.1%
11-7
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
1.2%
7-4
0.8%
8-5
0.4%
9-6
0.1%
10-7
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
0.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
1.9%
6-4
1.5%
7-5
0.8%
8-6
0.3%
9-7
0.1%
10-8
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
0.1%
2-1
0.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
2.6%
5-4
2.5%
6-5
1.6%
7-6
0.7%
8-7
0.2%
9-8
0.1%
10-9
<0%
+1
9.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
<0%
1-1
0.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
3.3%
5-5
2.5%
6-6
1.4%
7-7
0.5%
8-8
0.2%
9-9
<0%
0
12.3%
61.4%
Win probability
5.12
Expected goals
0-1
0.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
3.5%
4-5
3.4%
5-6
2.2%
6-7
1%
7-8
0.3%
8-9
0.1%
9-10
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
3.6%
4-6
2.9%
5-7
1.6%
6-8
0.6%
7-9
0.2%
8-10
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
2.9%
3-6
3.1%
4-7
2.1%
5-8
1%
6-9
0.4%
7-10
0.1%
8-11
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
2.5%
3-7
2.3%
4-8
1.4%
5-9
0.6%
6-10
0.2%
7-11
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
1.8%
3-8
1.4%
4-9
0.8%
5-10
0.3%
6-11
0.1%
7-12
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
1%
2-8
1.2%
3-9
0.8%
4-10
0.4%
5-11
0.1%
6-12
0%
-6
3.9%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.6%
2-9
0.7%
3-10
0.4%
4-11
0.2%
5-12
0.1%
6-13
0%
-7
2.2%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.4%
2-10
0.3%
3-11
0.2%
4-12
0.1%
5-13
0%
-8
1.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0.2%
2-11
0.2%
3-12
0.1%
4-13
0%
-9
0.5%
0-10
0%
1-11
0.1%
2-12
0.1%
3-13
0%
4-14
0%
-10
0.2%
0-11
0%
1-12
0%
2-13
0%
3-14
0%
-11
0.1%
1-13
0%
-12
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+134%
+224%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
ELO progression
TJK
JKN
FCA
FHT
JWO
AJA
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO JKN | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2020 |
TMK
2 - 6
JKN
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 72 | -14 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2020 |
JKN
1 - 0
PTV
40%
28%
32%
|
86 | 278 | -192 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2020 |
MST
0 - 4
JKN
46%
27%
27%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
JKN
5 - 2
AJA
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
JKN
2 - 1
TIN
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 121 | -37 | 0 |
Matches
TJK Legion II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO TJK | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
TJK
0 - 0
JWO
46%
27%
27%
|
111 | 118 | -7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
KJK
3 - 5
TJK
42%
28%
30%
|
110 | 54 | -56 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
JKP
0 - 12
TJK
45%
27%
28%
|
106 | 117 | 11 | +5 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
TJK
8 - 4
SIK
46%
27%
27%
|
104 | 122 | -18 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
TJK
3 - 4
TJK
45%
27%
28%
|
104 | 72 | -32 | 0 |