noscript image

Estonia Third Division. Este/Norte, Matchday 10

Trans II vs TJK Legion II analysis

Trans II TJK Legion II
5 ELO 6
168% Tilt 395%
9270º General ELO ranking 9630º
85º Country ELO ranking 93º
ELO win probability
26.3%
Trans II
12.3%
Draw
61.4%
TJK Legion II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
Trans II
3.74
Expected goals
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
10-2
<0%
11-3
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
<0%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
11-4
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
0.1%
11-5
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.3%
9-4
0.2%
10-5
0.1%
11-6
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.6%
8-4
0.4%
9-5
0.2%
10-6
0.1%
11-7
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
1.2%
7-4
0.8%
8-5
0.4%
9-6
0.1%
10-7
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
0.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
1.9%
6-4
1.5%
7-5
0.8%
8-6
0.3%
9-7
0.1%
10-8
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
0.1%
2-1
0.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
2.6%
5-4
2.5%
6-5
1.6%
7-6
0.7%
8-7
0.2%
9-8
0.1%
10-9
<0%
+1
9.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
<0%
1-1
0.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
3.3%
5-5
2.5%
6-6
1.4%
7-7
0.5%
8-8
0.2%
9-9
<0%
0
12.3%
61.4%
Win probability
TJK Legion II
5.12
Expected goals
0-1
0.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
3.5%
4-5
3.4%
5-6
2.2%
6-7
1%
7-8
0.3%
8-9
0.1%
9-10
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
3.6%
4-6
2.9%
5-7
1.6%
6-8
0.6%
7-9
0.2%
8-10
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
2.9%
3-6
3.1%
4-7
2.1%
5-8
1%
6-9
0.4%
7-10
0.1%
8-11
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
2.5%
3-7
2.3%
4-8
1.4%
5-9
0.6%
6-10
0.2%
7-11
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
1.8%
3-8
1.4%
4-9
0.8%
5-10
0.3%
6-11
0.1%
7-12
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
1%
2-8
1.2%
3-9
0.8%
4-10
0.4%
5-11
0.1%
6-12
0%
-6
3.9%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.6%
2-9
0.7%
3-10
0.4%
4-11
0.2%
5-12
0.1%
6-13
0%
-7
2.2%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.4%
2-10
0.3%
3-11
0.2%
4-12
0.1%
5-13
0%
-8
1.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0.2%
2-11
0.2%
3-12
0.1%
4-13
0%
-9
0.5%
0-10
0%
1-11
0.1%
2-12
0.1%
3-13
0%
4-14
0%
-10
0.2%
0-11
0%
1-12
0%
2-13
0%
3-14
0%
-11
0.1%
1-13
0%
-12
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Trans II
+134%
+224%
TJK Legion II

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC Tallinn
58
58
50%
TJK Legion II
58
58
50%
FCI Tallinn
57
57
100%
Trans II
53
53
100%
Tartu Welco II
43
43
100%
Sillamäe Kalev
42
42
100%
Põhja-Tallinna JK Volta
33
33
100%
JK Järve II
32
32
50%
Jogeva SK Noorus 96
32
32
50%
Maardu II
10º
30
30
10º
100%
FC Helios Voru
11º
28
28
11º
100%
Ajax Lasnamäe
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Tammeka III
13º
21
21
13º
100%
Jõgeva Wolves
14º
13
13
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Trans II
TJK Legion II
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

TJK Legion II
TJK
Trans II
JKN
Ararat
FCA
FC Helios Voru
FHT
Jõgeva Wolves
JWO
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Trans II
Trans II
1%
X%
2%
ELO JKN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jul. 2020
TMK
Tammeka III
2 - 6
Trans II
JKN
46%
27%
27%
86 72 -14 +1
02 Jul. 2020
JKN
Trans II
1 - 0
Põhja-Tallinna JK Volta
PTV
40%
28%
32%
86 278 -192 0
25 Jun. 2020
MST
Maardu II
0 - 4
Trans II
JKN
46%
27%
27%
85 87 2 +1
21 Jun. 2020
JKN
Trans II
5 - 2
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
45%
27%
28%
84 52 32 +1
13 Jun. 2020
JKN
Trans II
2 - 1
FCI Tallinn
TIN
45%
27%
28%
84 121 -37 0

Matches

TJK Legion II
TJK Legion II
1%
X%
2%
ELO TJK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jul. 2020
TJK
TJK Legion II
0 - 0
Jõgeva Wolves
JWO
46%
27%
27%
111 118 -7 0
15 Jul. 2020
KJK
JK Järve II
3 - 5
TJK Legion II
TJK
42%
28%
30%
110 54 -56 +1
09 Jul. 2020
JKP
Poseidon JK
0 - 12
TJK Legion II
TJK
45%
27%
28%
106 117 11 +5
28 Jun. 2020
TJK
TJK Legion II
8 - 4
Sillamäe Kalev
SIK
46%
27%
27%
104 122 -18 +1
20 Jun. 2020
TJK
Tartu Welco II
3 - 4
TJK Legion II
TJK
45%
27%
28%
104 72 -32 0