Hibernian II vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.3%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
86.6%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
19.1%
0-4
9.4%
1-5
4.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
14.2%
0-5
6.1%
1-6
2.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
8.7%
0-6
3.4%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
4.5%
0-7
1.6%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
2%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CWB
3 - 1
ELG
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ELG
1 - 1
STR
50%
23%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
EAS
2 - 3
ELG
33%
23%
44%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
ELG
1 - 3
KHE
47%
22%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ELG
3 - 0
NAI
76%
15%
10%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |