Moro vs Drac Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SAP
1 - 2
MOR
75%
14%
12%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BOR
2 - 3
MOR
51%
20%
29%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 1
XCR
71%
15%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 3
MOR
16%
17%
67%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 2
RIP
37%
21%
43%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Drac Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
DRA
1 - 3
BOR
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
XCR
2 - 2
DRA
13%
14%
73%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
DRA
3 - 3
SPC
89%
7%
3%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RIP
1 - 3
DRA
25%
19%
57%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
DRA
1 - 1
ODI
75%
14%
11%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |