ASFID Vila-real vs Moro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
39.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASFID Vila-real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ROD
6 - 0
ASF
90%
7%
3%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ASF
2 - 2
LPC
65%
18%
18%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ALQ
0 - 2
ASF
62%
18%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ASF
0 - 1
LAL
19%
19%
62%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
ALM
7 - 1
ASF
84%
11%
6%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Moro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MOR
4 - 3
PDC
50%
21%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
JAS
7 - 1
MOR
81%
12%
8%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
DRA
1 - 1
MOR
40%
21%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MOR
6 - 0
AND
68%
16%
16%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MOR
3 - 3
SAP
10%
15%
75%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +1 |