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Torneo Federal B. Fase Litoral Sur, Matchday 1

9 de Julio Rafaela vs Ben Hur analysis

9 de Julio Rafaela Ben Hur
24 ELO 30
42% Tilt 129%
11366º General ELO ranking 11369º
265º Country ELO ranking 268º
ELO win probability
29.1%
9 de Julio Rafaela
19.5%
Draw
51.5%
Ben Hur

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
9 de Julio Rafaela
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
51.5%
Win probability
Ben Hur
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
5.6%
3-4
2%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%