NPSL - USA Sur Jor. 4

865 Alliance vs Appalachian analysis

865 Alliance Appalachian
9 ELO 41
-4.2% Tilt -2.2%
14906º General ELO ranking 5532º
278º Country ELO ranking 108º
ELO win probability
5.1%
865 Alliance
11.4%
Draw
83.5%
Appalachian

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.1%
Win probability
865 Alliance
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
83.5%
Win probability
Appalachian
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.2%
0-5
5%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.6%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
865 Alliance
+302%
+6%
Appalachian

Points and table prediction

865 Alliance
Their league position
Appalachian
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
22º
22º
17
11º
19º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lubbock Matadors SC
30
34
99.5%
Brownsville
25
28
75.5%
Naples United
21
24
24%
Southern States
17
23
10.5%
Laredo Heat
19
23
15%
San Antonio Corinthians FC
11º
17
23
12.5%
West Texas
22
22
30%
Irving
26º
0
21
5%
Apotheos FC
21
21
13.5%
Jacksonville Armada II
20
20
10º
33.5%
Appalachian
17
17
11º
6.5%
Atlético de Miami Beach
10º
17
17
12º
26.5%
Denton Diablos
13º
15
16
13º
51.5%
Georgia Revolution
12º
15
15
14º
83%
Charlottetowne Hops
14º
14
14
15º
1%
Tallahassee SC
15º
14
14
16º
1.5%
Pensacola
16º
14
14
17º
0%
New Orleans Jesters
17º
12
12
18º
21%
Fort Worth Vaqueros
18º
12
12
19º
27.5%
Austin United
20º
8
11
20º
38.5%
Miami Dutch Lions
22º
7
10
21º
36%
865 Alliance
19º
9
9
22º
52%
Georgia Storm
21º
8
8
23º
52%
Global Soccer Pathways
23º
4
4
24º
58.5%
Katy 1895
25º
4
4
25º
61.5%
Coyotes
24º
4
4
26º
75.5%
Florida Roots
27º
0
0
27º
100%
Expected probabilities
865 Alliance
Appalachian
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

865 Alliance
Appalachian
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

865 Alliance
865 Alliance
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jul. 2023
AFC
Apotheos FC
1 - 1
865 Alliance
ALL
90%
7%
3%
9 36 27 0
25 Jun. 2023
ALL
865 Alliance
0 - 1
Georgia Storm
GSS
7%
14%
79%
9 29 20 0
19 Jun. 2023
ALL
865 Alliance
1 - 3
Georgia Revolution
GER
5%
11%
84%
10 35 25 -1
11 Jun. 2023
ALL
865 Alliance
1 - 1
Charlottetowne Hops
CHH
56%
20%
24%
10 9 1 0
04 Jun. 2023
AFC
Appalachian
2 - 1
865 Alliance
ALL
92%
6%
2%
10 40 30 0

Matches

Appalachian
Appalachian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jul. 2023
AFC
Appalachian
1 - 0
Georgia Revolution
GER
59%
21%
20%
41 34 7 0
26 Jun. 2023
CHH
Charlottetowne Hops
4 - 3
Appalachian
AFC
6%
12%
82%
42 10 32 -1
18 Jun. 2023
AFC
Appalachian
2 - 3
Charlottetowne Hops
CHH
92%
6%
2%
42 9 33 0
11 Jun. 2023
GER
Georgia Revolution
0 - 5
Appalachian
AFC
41%
25%
35%
40 36 4 +2
04 Jun. 2023
AFC
Appalachian
2 - 1
865 Alliance
ALL
92%
6%
2%
40 10 30 0
X