4 de Julho vs Tuna Luso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MOT
3 - 0
4DE
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 1
PAC
50%
27%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
FPI
1 - 0
4DE
53%
23%
25%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 1
FPI
24%
23%
54%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
4DE
2 - 0
COR
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Tuna Luso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TUN
0 - 3
JCA
89%
9%
2%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
TOC
3 - 1
TUN
14%
21%
65%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
TUN
4 - 2
AGU
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
AGU
3 - 2
TUN
12%
18%
70%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
REM
1 - 1
TUN
50%
24%
27%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |