4 de Julho vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 2
4DE
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 0
4DE
81%
13%
5%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
TIR
0 - 1
4DE
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 2
FPI
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
PIC
3 - 1
4DE
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 2
SAL
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 3
BAH
8%
19%
73%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 0
AFO
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ALT
1 - 1
SAL
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 1
ALT
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |