4 de Julho vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
4DE
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
4DE
3 - 0
OEI
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
OEI
1 - 2
4DE
24%
22%
53%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
PIC
1 - 1
4DE
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
4DE
2 - 1
PIC
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
4DE
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 2
FLA
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
FLA
0 - 0
RIV
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 2
FLA
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |