4 de Julho vs Altos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
4DE
85%
12%
4%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
4DE
0 - 1
PAR
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 0
CON
13%
20%
67%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 0
SAL
25%
26%
49%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +3 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 2
4DE
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 0
TIR
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ALT
0 - 0
CEA
8%
18%
74%
|
44 | 79 | 35 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
TRE
1 - 0
ALT
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 1
ALT
22%
25%
53%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 1
CON
20%
22%
58%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |