3FB Toliara vs CNaPS Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
54%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
16º
11º
17
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 29 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 22 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 18 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 17 |
11º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
59% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 10 |
15º
|
60% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 74% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 26% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3FB Toliara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CNA
0 - 1
3FB
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
3FB
2 - 1
ZFC
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ELG
2 - 1
3FB
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
3FB
0 - 3
CFF
26%
22%
52%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CFF
1 - 0
3FB
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CNaPS Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CNA
0 - 1
3FB
80%
12%
8%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MMA
1 - 1
CNA
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
DAT
1 - 6
CNA
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
ZFC
2 - 2
CNA
44%
22%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
RJM
1 - 5
CNA
44%
23%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |