Rosenheim vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
70.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
AUG
2 - 0
ROS
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
ROS
1 - 3
MEM
49%
27%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ILL
1 - 0
ROS
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
ROS
2 - 2
SEL
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
RAI
0 - 3
ROS
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
VFR
0 - 2
SGF
31%
28%
42%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
SVS
0 - 0
VFR
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MUN
3 - 0
VFR
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
VFR
3 - 0
SGD
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
VFR
2 - 1
SSV
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |