Union Berlin vs B. Dortmund II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
WUP
2 - 1
FCU
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
FCU
1 - 2
MAG
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
SGD
2 - 0
FCU
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
FCU
2 - 4
ERF
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
F95
2 - 1
FCU
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
BOR
1 - 1
HER
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
WER
0 - 1
BOR
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
BOR
1 - 1
LUB
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
WUP
2 - 1
BOR
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BOR
1 - 3
MAG
47%
26%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |