Union Berlin vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
50.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
FCU
2 - 0
NIC
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
DYN
1 - 1
FCU
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
FCU
3 - 0
SGD
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
VIK
2 - 5
FCU
7%
15%
78%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
FCU
2 - 1
RBL
15%
20%
65%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BVB
0 - 2
ATH
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
ATH
1 - 0
DYN
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
STG
2 - 1
ATH
21%
24%
55%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
ELC
2 - 0
ATH
18%
24%
58%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ATH
0 - 1
RMA
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |