Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
BVB
4 - 2
FCU
73%
17%
11%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
SLP
3 - 1
FCU
51%
22%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FCU
0 - 0
AUG
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
LIC
0 - 2
FCU
4%
12%
85%
|
81 | 34 | 47 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
FCU
2 - 1
MON
25%
24%
51%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ARB
0 - 0
HOF
17%
21%
62%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MON
3 - 1
ARB
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 1
EIN
14%
19%
67%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SGF
1 - 1
ARB
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ARB
0 - 0
SCF
25%
25%
50%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |