1. FC Merseburg vs FC An der Fahner Höhe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Merseburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FCM
1 - 0
FSM
37%
21%
42%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
VFL
2 - 0
FCM
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
OBE
4 - 2
FCM
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FCM
3 - 0
PLA
24%
20%
56%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +3 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
FCA
2 - 0
FCM
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC An der Fahner Höhe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
UNI
3 - 1
FCA
52%
23%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FCA
1 - 0
ILE
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
SVB
0 - 1
FCA
22%
21%
57%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ERF
3 - 0
FCA
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FCA
0 - 4
SVG
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |