Köln vs Wolfsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
43.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
FCU
1 - 2
KOL
35%
24%
41%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
KOL
3 - 2
RTV
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
KOL
2 - 1
BWL
89%
9%
2%
|
76 | 31 | 45 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
KOL
5 - 0
SVD
90%
8%
2%
|
76 | 16 | 60 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2020 |
KOL
5 - 0
SPV
92%
7%
1%
|
76 | 11 | 65 | 0 |
Matches
Wolfsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
WOL
2 - 0
HOL
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
WOL
0 - 1
EBT
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
SHA
3 - 0
WOL
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
RBL
1 - 1
WOL
61%
21%
17%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
WOL
0 - 4
BYM
5%
11%
84%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |