Köln vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BYM
5 - 1
KOL
88%
9%
4%
|
77 | 96 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
KOL
0 - 1
STU
35%
25%
41%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
EIN
2 - 0
KOL
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
MON
1 - 2
KOL
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SSV
2 - 2
KOL
23%
21%
56%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 1
EIN
19%
21%
61%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
HOF
4 - 0
BRE
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 0
SCF
37%
24%
39%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 0
SGF
56%
23%
20%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 1
S04
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |