Köln vs Unterhaching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
KSC
2 - 1
KOL
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
KOL
1 - 1
PAD
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ROT
5 - 0
KOL
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
EBT
0 - 1
KOL
21%
25%
54%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
KOL
1 - 0
CZJ
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Unterhaching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
UNT
2 - 0
CZJ
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
KAI
4 - 0
UNT
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
UNT
2 - 0
OFC
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
AUG
2 - 1
UNT
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
UNT
0 - 2
SCF
35%
29%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |