Köln vs Hoffenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
KOL
5 - 2
BAT
48%
27%
26%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LEV
2 - 1
KOL
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
HER
1 - 3
KOL
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
KOL
0 - 0
BRE
26%
23%
51%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
BAT
1 - 0
KOL
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
IST
1 - 1
HOF
27%
23%
51%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
HOF
1 - 3
MON
47%
23%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 0
HOF
27%
23%
50%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
WOL
1 - 1
HOF
24%
23%
54%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
HOF
3 - 1
IST
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |