Köln vs Deutz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.8%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
16.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
17.5%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.2%
1.9%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
KOL
2 - 1
BWL
89%
9%
2%
|
76 | 31 | 45 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2020 |
KOL
5 - 0
SPV
92%
7%
1%
|
76 | 11 | 65 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
BRE
6 - 1
KOL
43%
25%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
KOL
1 - 1
EIN
23%
22%
56%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2020 |
LEV
3 - 1
KOL
70%
17%
12%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Deutz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
DUS
3 - 1
SVD
61%
21%
19%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SVD
2 - 6
VFL
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PES
2 - 2
SVD
69%
17%
15%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
WES
3 - 2
SVD
53%
21%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SVD
1 - 4
WEG
16%
19%
65%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |