Köln vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
OFC
0 - 2
KOL
6%
13%
81%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
KOL
1 - 2
ACM
17%
25%
59%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
KOL
1 - 1
GCZ
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
SCA
0 - 4
KOL
21%
21%
59%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
USM
1 - 12
KOL
8%
16%
76%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
NEC
4 - 0
FCB
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
NEC
3 - 1
RKC
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
DIO
0 - 7
NEC
3%
7%
91%
|
66 | 8 | 58 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
NEC
0 - 1
FOR
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
PSV
3 - 2
NEC
75%
16%
10%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |